I’m looking at the 00Z GFS numbers for Connecticut. I remember this!
It was around this point every year that winter began to win our yearly battle. Not only is forecasting winter weather fraught with peril, I had to drive in that stuff–every storm!
The GFS says a little shy of a foot at New Haven. At Bradley, over six inches. These numbers are never exactly right. Bane of my existence.
People overvalue the accumulation forecast. It’s either under two inches, under six inches, or more. The impact of six inches or a foot are virtually the same.
The more important value is timing. That forecast has improved over time.
Snow by afternoon through early Wednesday. The snow will be accompanied by strong gusty winds which will create drifting. This should be powdery snow.
If you’re working Tuesday, consider coming home early.
I am typing this wearing shorts and a t-shirt.