Learning to forecast was fun. I still find it enjoyable, looking at weather maps and charts. California weather is currently very stable. Days in the 70s, nights 50s. Passing clouds.
Nowadays I use weather.cod.edu for most of my raw and mapped data. It is a nerd-o-riffic weather site run by the College of DuPage in Illinois.
Our next chance for rain comes a week from today. Everyone, including me, will tell you we need it. Southern California must maintain a delicate balance. Even in a drought, nearly all rainstorms here are potentially flooding rainstorms! It doesn’t take much.
The more interesting weather is in the Northeast. I guess all the TV people are talking about the potential for a storm Wednesday? I would be.
The 00Z GFS starts precipitation early Wednesday and continues through the day, heavy at times. It’s the heaviest travel day of the year and this system will impact DCA, PHL, NYC, BOS and everyone inbetween.
Judging by the 850mb temperatures, I’d favor mostly snow in Connecticut–though mixed precip isn’t out of the question. Windy. Stormy. Crappy.
The spaghetti plots through early Thursday are reasonably tight, signifying the model is impressed with its results.
Hey, it’s Sunday. Maybe your decisions can wait. Please, wait as long as possible.
If your options are limited, it might be time to think of alternatives.
No weather forecast is infallible. The ones for SoCal are easier.