Tropical Storm Alberto

You’re not the only one surprised to see a named tropical storm so early. Joe Furey said the GFS model had something like this ten days ago, but it wasn’t anything I was concentrating on. This afternoon the National Hurricane Center turned a low off South Carolina into Tropical Storm Alberto.

The Hurricane Center’s is on the case. Their latest discussion is three long paragraphs saying, “We really don’t know.”

This afternoon the National Hurricane Center turned a low off South Carolina into Tropical Storm Alberto. You’re not the only one surprised to see a named tropical storm so early.

Joe Furey said the GFS model had something like this ten days ago, but it wasn’t anything I was concentrating on.

The Hurricane Center’s on the case. Their latest discussion is three long paragraphs. Conclusion: we really don’t know.

Here’s an example:

THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE REMAINS SPLIT WITH THE DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTING SOME WEAKENING…AND THE STATISTICAL TOOLS SHOWING STRENGTHENING.

Weakening and strengthening! Where is Miss Cleo when you need her?

The official call is 50 mph, but satellite and radar observations imply it’s weaker. I can’t imagine how it could strengthen.

There’s a reason the hurricane season starts later than this. Tropical systems only exist under very specific conditions. Tonight those conditions only exist marginally and in a very small areas.

By midweek Alberto should be out in the Atlantic, getting raggedy and losing its tropical characteristics.

Joe Furey’s Birthday

When he walked into the New England Air Museum (fabulous… what a gem) he thought he was going to give a speech to the Silver City Flying Club. Surprise!

My colleague meteorologist Joe Furey just turned fifty. As I remember fifty is a big deal. His depression will set in later, but right now it’s time to celebrate. To make that happen Joe’s wife planned and threw a surprise party. It wasn’t that easy!

Somehow Joe came across an invitation envelope with his wife’s handwriting. He got suspicious. That led to another, smaller party to throw Joe off the scent.

When he walked into the New England Air Museum (fabulous… what a gem) he thought he was going to give a speech to the Silver City Flying Club. Surprise! Click the photo on the left to see Joe’s reaction as he realized what was going on.

The party was great. Joe’s family was there along with a who’s who of Connecticut broadcasting and a sizable slice of the state’s meteorologists (Do you think Jeffrey Butler’s name came up?).