It’s Really Tough To Be A Fan

BA6RWe were excited to watch the Eagles play this afternoon. There’s been a lot written about them this summer. Expectations were high. And, today the Eagles were playing patsies, The Jacksonville Jaguars.

On the first series, Nick Foles the unexpected, but apparent, savior of Philadelphia, looked very mortal.

Hit.

Fumble.

Turnover.

Just like that it was 7-0.

Foles coughed it up again, was sacked five times and threw an interception as the Eagles were threatening. 17-0 at the half.

With no snowballs to throw, the stadium full of season ticket holders booed them to the locker room.

Helaine and I were dumbfounded, beside ourselves. “When does spring training start,” she wondered?

Fans are fans. If you’re one you understand. We watch the Phillies play, though their view of the rest of the National League is dim tail lights in the distance. We weren’t going to abandon the Eagles either. We’d be crushed nonetheless!

A different Eagles team came out for the second half. How is that possible? How can a turnaround be so movie script dramatic?

All of a sudden the Eagles were unstoppable. The scored 17 to tie it, then another 17 for good measure. Final score 34-17.

Via Instant Messenger&#185, my buddy Bob in Florida typed, “clearly the best half time locker speech ever.”

Clearly.

Meanwhile, H and I were so invested in the Eagle’s season we were still emotionally distraught from the first half! It’s sort of crazy, isn’t it? To be that much of a fan?

It’s not a choice you make. It just happens.

&#185 – My friend Bob and I are the last two people on AOL Instant Messenger. I remember when that was the Internet’s hottest property.

Why Hurricane Forecasts Are So Difficult: West Coast Edition

norbert visible

uspacifi.cfThere’s a Category 3 Hurricane spinning in the Pacific off the coast of Baja California this afternoon. Later tonight Hurricane Norbert will hit a brick wall in the form of colder sea surface temperatures and quickly start losing strength.

In the short term this storm has caused no major forecast problems. In the longer range things get muddy.

A few days ago the GFS was bringing Norbert up the SoCal coast, making landfall near the OC/San Diego county line. Since then, Norbert’s guidance has been repositioned farther south with each model run. The GFS now brings Norbert on shore in Northern Baja California, just south of the Mexican border.

aep14_2014090612_track_lateThe well respected European model had taken Hurricane Norbert out to sea, never making land. It doesn’t swing quite as far west now, but the Euro still shows no landfall.

There is some agreement between the specialized tropical weather models. The spaghetti plot on the left shows agreement in a turn to the right, then a much weaker Norbert comes onshore in northern Baja.

It still looks like rain will be the major impact from Norbert. Here’s part of the latest Hurricane Center discussion.

There is high confidence in the short-term track forecast since there is a good guidance agreement. Beyond 3 days, global models either forecast Norbert to dissipate in situ near the west coast of the northern Baja California peninsula or continue to move the system eastward as a weak low or a trough. The NHC prefers the former global model solution.

Moisture from the remnants of Dolly and the Pacific ITCZ is being advected northward by the outer circulation of Norbert across northern Mexico and into the southwestern United States. This could result in heavy rains and life-threatening flash flooding in these areas during the next few days.

174208W5_NL_smNorthern Baja, the Mexican state of Sonora and extreme southern California and Arizona seem most susceptible.

There are a few factors which have made Norbert tough to forecast. The largest is the near total lack of steering winds over the next few days. The slower a hurricane’s forward motion, the less accurate the forecast is!

There is no doubt Norbert will rapidly lost its mojo as it enters cooler water. That’s the good news.

The bad news is Norbert’s moisture will still get dumped. Tropical weather systems have plenty of ways to get you beyond wind.

From My Messy Room Upstairs

IMG_4949

Five o’clock. I’m upstairs in my office. It is a borderline out-of-control mess!

My desk is the perfect example of junk expanding to fill all available space. I’ve got tools, lens caps, at least one can of air, an empty coffee cup plus a plum.

You organized people are snickering at me, aren’t you? You’re wondering how Helaine, herself organized, puts up with it. Let’s just say the threshold in this one room is very high.

I love this room. This is my man cave. It was designed to be functional in a way I could take advantage of. It is designed to be a multimedia production facility where video, audio and stills are edited into presentations.

I designed the computer, anguished over the speakers (and the shock absorbing pads they sit on) and took my wife’s advice, getting the larger desk. Good call, H.

My office has four windows, open as much as possible. The afternoon sun heats the room pretty quickly so the blinds are louvered to let in air, not sunshine.

If there was a simple way to sound deaden the room I would. It would make v/o tracking a little nicer. It doesn’t need to be soundproof, just less wall bounce.

If I had it to do over again, I’d probably leave it alone.

Tropical Weather On This Coast? Uh Oh!

055651W5_NL_sm

When we moved to California I thought I’d left tropical weather systems behind. Maybe not!

A hurricane off the Mexican coast is heading this way. One model brings it (greatly diminished) to the SD/OC/LA coast sometime early next week.

These computer models aren’t particularly trustworthy far in advance, but you can’t disregard them totally.

Here’s what I know about Norbert late Wednesday evening.

Why Must I Wait For The Daily Show You’ve Seen?

Stewart Mocks Obama  Can’t He Condemn Russia Just a Little Faster    Mediaite

Like clockwork, every night asap Mediaite.com posts most/all of Jon Stewart’s first block. It’s 8:53 PM PDT as I type and what you see above is now online.

The Daily Show doesn’t air here for another two hours!

I’ll admit it, this is a first world, 21st Century problem. But it gnaws at me.

Out here on the west coast we get mostly leftovers. If there’s voting in a show, we can’t. If the font screams LIVE, probably not for us. Facebook and Twitter conspire nightly to spoil all the tube’s surprises.

This kind of TV worked 20 or 30 years ago. There’s no good reason to hold back now, except to protect someone’s outdated business model.

I’m waiting for the show. Stewart is best watched in context. He’d better be funny.

The Marine Layer

I took Doppler out for a quick walk this morning at 3:30 AM. She looks down. I look up. The stars were mainly gone. A low gray cloud deck had moved in. Nothing unusual. I went to bed. By the time I woke up the clouds were gone. It’s like this a lot in SoCal–sunny […]

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Changing Doppler With The Seasons

This is a sad year for the Phillies. In baseball terms, they suck. They’re getting older (not that there’s anything wrong with that), slower and less able to hit for power. The pitching staff has been so weak at times I expected walk-ons from the stands to toss a few innings. We’ve seen them at […]

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TD5, But You’ll Probably Call Her Dolly

There’s concern, but it’s likely this storm won’t grow strong enough to produce major damage. Though water temperatures in the southern Gulf are bathtub warm, wind shear will limit intensification.

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It’s Labor Day

Here’s the problem with the whole corporate tax equation. Our tax structure was set up with the idea business would be the driver of employment. Business has decided that’s not part of the deal anymore. Companies offshore and automate and do so to save every penny.

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About Hank Yaggi

I got the word today. Hank Yaggi died. Hank had been general manager at Channel 8 some time ago. Hank came from a TV family. His dad was a broadcaster before him. I wonder how many TV general managers call themselves broadcasters anymore? Hank got into television when it was nearly impossible not to make […]

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