Let me bring you into “Weatherworld” for a moment. Here in New England, we’re having a stretch of cool and damp days as a low pressure system waffles around the area.
The meteorological term for what’s controlling our weather is a “cutoff low.” That means the low pressure system is cutoff from the force of the jet stream – there’s nothing to push it on its way.
Short term forecasting is fairly simple. It will stay lousy.
Longer range forecasting is much more difficult. These cutoff lows stay stable until something unclogs the pattern. Unfortunately, that’s often impossible to predict until the moment it happens.
I’m forced to forecast a continuation of what’s going on, knowing that might not necessarily be the case. It’s the best forecast, but it’s not my most confident of forecasts.
With Memorial Day weekend a few days away, I’m hoping something happens sooner rather than later.