“So, who’s going to win?” It’s a question I’ve asked and been asked dozens of times in the past few days.
Back when I thought the Iraq War was going to be the big campaign issue I was predicting a Democratic rout. That scenario still looks likely, but most people remain sheepish. No one is predicting the Democrats win without throwing in a list of provisos. No one will be shocked if John McCain is selected even though every barometer of public sentiment says otherwise.
Are we more distrustful of polls or pols?
I’m curious to see how accurate the 250+ polls in the past 30 days actually were.
The Iraq war lost its lustre as a major campaign issue for the Democrats for two reasons…
1. We started winning and less troops were dying after the surge thus removing it as the centerpiece of the Democratic platform.
2. The economy tanked.