I am not sure why, but this upcoming storm seems a little more ‘set in stone’ than usual. All the models are reasonably in line and the scenario they paint in plausible. This is the classic Nor’easter setup.
Recently some friends have been pointing to improvements in one of the short range computer models I check. I’ve started to give it more credence, not that it makes a big difference this time (see paragraph one).
I’ve sort of been hoping we’d make it out of this winter without a real bang. Foolish me.