Hurricane Earl Is Coming Into Focus

It’s possible the storm will pass in such a way half the state doesn’t even realize it was there! That would make me happy.

The closer a storm gets the more it comes into focus… at least that’s the hope. Hurricane Earl is a day away from the area. There’s still no reason to think we’ll get struck directly.

Over the past few minutes I’ve looked at loops from the WHRF, GFS and NAM models. They’re all slightly different though very similar. The worst of the three lives up to my earlier forecasts. The others bring less.

It’s possible the storm will pass in such a way half the state doesn’t even realize it was there! That would make me happy.

One thought on “Hurricane Earl Is Coming Into Focus”

  1. Hi Geoff. I saw this storm track from 1944 on one of the NOAA sites and I thought it looked pretty familiar! Looks just like Earl. And looking at earl. I suspect it might make a slightly more gradual turn and track the ’44 storm. Guess we’ll see!

    Excerpt from the site:
    ” Great Atlantic Hurricane 1944
    Click for a larger map of the Great Atlantic Hurricane of 1944This large and powerful hurricane was first detected northeast of the Leeward Islands on September 9. It moved west-northwestward through the 12th, then turned northward on a track that brought the center near Cape Hatteras, North Carolina on the 14th. The cyclone accelerated north-northeastward, moving across eastern New England and into Canada by September 15. The storm became extratropical over Canada and finally merged with a larger low near Greenland on September 16. This hurricane was of Category 3 intensity at landfalls at Cape Hatteras, Long Island, and Point Judith, Rhode Island, and Category 2 as far north as the coast of Maine.

    Cape Henry, VA reported 134 mph sustained winds (measured 90 ft above the ground) with estimated gusts to 150 mph. Widespread hurricane-force winds were reported elsewhere along the storm track from North Carolina to Massachusetts with a maximum reported gust of 109 mph at Hartford, Connecticut. Rainfall totals of 6 to 11 inches accompanied the storm.

    While this hurricane caused 46 deaths and $100 million in damage in the United States, the worst effects occurred at sea where it wreaked havoc on World War II shipping. Five ships, including a U. S. Navy destroyer and minesweeper, two U. S. Coast Guard cutters, and a light vessel, sank due to the storm causing 344 deaths.

    For an interactive map of the Great Atlantic Hurricane visit the NOAA Coastal Services Center.”

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *