Sunday’s Driving Me Nuts

The NAM misses us entirely. The GFS brings a plowable, not back breaking, accumulation. The European model hints at Armageddon!

This Sunday storm possibility is driving me a little crazy… and by a little crazy I mean very crazy! Each succeeding run of the computer guidance just muddies the water more.

There was a time earlier this week when one model hinted at 2&#189 feet of snow! Six hours later 90% of that wasn’t coming.

Even now just a few days ahead when the models should be coming into alignment they are not. The NAM misses us entirely. The GFS brings a plowable, not back breaking, accumulation. The European model hints at Armageddon!

Who could possibly know?

Here’s the funny thing. Even a non-specific forecast is helpful. There’s something to be said about at least planning for a ‘rainy day.’

Oh, hell… rainy. I hadn’t even considered that until now.

4 thoughts on “Sunday’s Driving Me Nuts”

  1. This is one of those days when my job doesn’t seem so bad after all. Good luck. The best you can do is tell us what you see so we can try to prepare…Mother Nature does the rest 😉

  2. What the heck was predicted when there were no computer models? Did the guys just rely on what was happening elswhere and experience guided them?
    I’m in my sixties and remember the chalk flying on the TV studio blaclboard in the old days.
    Can Dr. Mel surmise the impending outcome based just on his experience and the data?
    I read his book on Ct. weather and don’t recall his addressing the issue of computer models except their relevance to global warming trends.

    1. We use the computer models because they’re much, much, much more accurate than mere mortals. It was tough to do two or three days much less a full week.

      When was the last time we had a Blizzard of ’78 scenario where we were surprised by a major storm? Answer: we haven’t.

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