Big storm coming Friday. Big, big storm. Let’s see if it’s rain or snow!
I couldn’t see this Facebook friend, but it’s obvious he was salivating! Haven’t we already been through enough?
On top of that he wants to play… and this storm is demanding we play the rain/snow game. It was tough enough when I had to do it. Now I have a choice!
Forecasting that far out especially in the transition season is a fool’s errand. There’s a chance for snow both Wednesday PM and Friday/Saturday. Beyond that, who knows?
My Facebook friend was looking for me to sign-off on his wish based prediction for snow! Wishcasting is the most dangerous thing a forecaster can do.
Some of you think that’s what TV meteorologists do. Maybe. Not me.
I went back to the computer models this afternoon. Like you I’m interested in seeing if there’s snow in the offing.
There are actually two chances. He missed the one for Wednesday afternoon into Thursday that I mentioned. We’ll be cold enough for snow, but that system now looks to be tracking south of us. Close, but no cigar.
I know. I’m supposed to be a dispassionate observer. The heck with that! I’ll be glad if it misses us as forecast. Maybe thrilled is a better word.
The later week story is much more problematic. The rain/snow line looks to cut across our state as the storm passes by through most of Friday. That sets up some very different outcomes based on location.
At this early date the Shoreline and Eastern Connecticut will see mainly rain. North and west will get mostly snow–enough to send the plows out and keep the kids home.
Here’s the operative line that bears repeating: Forecasting this early is a fool’s errand. I’ll keep my eye on it and let you know as things come into sharper focus.
It’s really too early to worry about Friday. Keep that in mind.