Very Brief Sandy Update

At moment Hurricane Sandy is doing what’s expected. The storm is tearing through the Bahamas. It has weakened.

It doesn’t look like it did last night when an eye and some banding were visible. Visiting Cuba will do that to you!

The Hurricane Center has joined the chorus explaining Sandy won’t be like other hurricanes at landfall.

REGARDLESS OF THE EXACT TRACK OF SANDY…IT IS LIKELY THAT SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WILL BE FELT OVER PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

That includes us here in Connecticut.

NHC has another problem. Sandy will sure transition or be transitioning from a warm to cold core storm. That will broaden its wind field. Unlike a ‘pure’ hurricane, Sandy’s top winds won’t be right at the eyewall.

NOTE THAT THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES ARE NOT DESIGNED TO HANDLE THE TYPE OF STRUCTURAL CHANGES ANTICIPATED WITH SANDY DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS A RESULT…THESE PROBABILITIES WILL UNDERESTIMATE THE ACTUAL RISK OF STRONG WINDS AWAY FROM THE CENTER OF SANDY.

I’ll try and write a little about the 00z GFS before bed tonight. I’m hoping for more agreement with the ECMWF, meaning a more (hopefully) reliable forecast and farther away from us!

7 thoughts on “Very Brief Sandy Update”

  1. Geoff, can you tell us what you think about the “cold storm”? cold enough for snow? do we have to worry about the snow like we did with last years storm?

  2. Geoff, can you tell us what you think about the “cold storm”? cold enough for snow? do we have to worry about the snow like we did with last years storm? thanks for all of your postings to keep us all safe. Really appreciate it – and glad you’re back & feeling better!!

  3. Geoff, thank goodness you have this blog. You are our favorite meteorologist (by far the most reliably correct, in our estimation) and we are really annoyed that Cablevision is still not showing Fox channels. We don’t care that much about most of the Fox programming, but we miss *you*!

    Keep this blog going! (Please!)

  4. Thank you, Geoff! I grew up in CT(35 years). Moved to Alaska, now live in Arizona. ALL of my family and longtime friends are still there, so I appreciate your updates. I have followed you for a long time. Thank you so much for your expert opinion; I trust it!

  5. Geoff

    Like many others, I am checking your blog for storm updates.

    One minor request. As the storm info is so time dependent, might you indicate the time when you make the post.
    dave

    1. If you look at the actual entry, not the home page and look toward the bottom in a gray box you’ll find the timestamp.

      Can it be fixed? Yes, but please don’t expect it quickly. It’s a pain.

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