I’ve just had a chance to compare the 12z and 00z ECMWF outputs. The latest run is farther north and farther east. That’s bad for us, not that it was good earlier.
The ECMWF fills the storm a little sooner, meaning the winds will diminish a little faster than originally expected.
The Weather Service has made a conscious decision not to issue Hurricane or Tropical Storm watches or warnings for New York and New England. From an academic standpoint they’re right. From a practical, what will benefit the public standpoint, they are totally wrong!
Who cares how my professors would characterize Hurricane Sandy? Actionable information is what counts! The public understands “hurricane” equals “danger.”
…HIGH WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND… …SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS ALSO EXPECTED…
That’s not the same as a Hurricane or Tropical Storm Warning. Maybe it’s why New York City’s Mayor Bloomberg downplayed the perils of Hurricane Sandy for the city.
A meteorologist friend who works for another Connecticut TV station and will remain nameless notes,
I can’t believe him… but this is exactly why the NHC made the total wrong call here.
Correct. New York City is not well served by the mayor’s actions.
As for the forecast, not much has changed.
I was speaking with Rachel Frank a little earlier and we both noticed with small exceptions everything we were saying two or three days ago still holds.
You should be well into your storm preps by now.
The wind will begin to slowly pick up Sunday. The same holds true for water levels in Long Island Sound (already around a foot above tide table predictions). Showers Sunday turn into downpours Monday.
Make no mistake, Connecticut is threatened by Hurricane Sandy. There is every indication statewide this will be our worst storm in nearly 75 years!
Be safe. Stay safe. Keep yourself out of harm’s way. Storms like Sandy can block escape routes instantly. If asked to evacuate, please do so.
More late tonight when the 00z models become available.