Quick Update – Wednesday Late

Let me concentrate on how the 00Z GFS is different than what I wrote this afternoon. To read that fuller discussion, click here.

The ECMWF is still hours from completion. The GFS is seldom my first choice, but it, and the totally untrustowrthy NAM, are all we’ve got right now.

The NAM is showing scary precipitation numbers. They are difficult to believe and so I won’t.

The GFS has backed off this afternoon’s liquid equivalents and is now forecasting a storm more typical of New England in the winter. Still big. Not BIG.

The GFS is also a little colder than this morning. Snow-rain-snow on the shore. The all snow line shifts south a bit. The hours of rain are shortened slightly.

Eastern Connecticut still has the potential for the most snow, though there’s less of a well defined bullseye than earlier.

Friday morning is still a long way off. If there’s something you need done by Saturday, you now need to do it Thursday.

Oops – I originally called this entry, “Quick Update – Thursday Late.”

7 thoughts on “Quick Update – Wednesday Late”

  1. No-nonsense! I like it. TV’s still making it A BIG DEAL. Loving the no-nonsense forecasting from you and Matt on this one. As Matt would say: “Prepare, not Scare.”

    Thanks Geoff! 🙂

    1. Marcia – this is still a big storm. There will be areas with lots of snow. At this moment (and subject to change) it doesn’t look catastrophic, only awful.

  2. Thanks, Geoff – it’s reassuring to be able to get the straight story. Will you be likely to know by midnight Thursday roughly what time it’ll start on Friday?

  3. Any job prospects Geoff? I would love to count on you back on the air! I do enjoy the blog. I tend to watch NY news or FSB because Fox Ct and WTNH annoy me!

  4. Thanks Geoff, will stay tuned for updates. Yesterday was the 35th anniversary of the blizzard of 1978! Took me 4 1/2 hrs to get home from Bpt. Hospital (where I worked) to Milford!!! Never want to relive that ride again.

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