Let me concentrate on how the 00Z GFS is different than what I wrote this afternoon. To read that fuller discussion, click here.
The ECMWF is still hours from completion. The GFS is seldom my first choice, but it, and the totally untrustowrthy NAM, are all we’ve got right now.
The NAM is showing scary precipitation numbers. They are difficult to believe and so I won’t.
The GFS has backed off this afternoon’s liquid equivalents and is now forecasting a storm more typical of New England in the winter. Still big. Not BIG.
The GFS is also a little colder than this morning. Snow-rain-snow on the shore. The all snow line shifts south a bit. The hours of rain are shortened slightly.
Eastern Connecticut still has the potential for the most snow, though there’s less of a well defined bullseye than earlier.
Friday morning is still a long way off. If there’s something you need done by Saturday, you now need to do it Thursday.
Oops – I originally called this entry, “Quick Update – Thursday Late.”