The Wiftiness Of Long Range Hurricane Forecasting

It’s hurricane season. Yeah, I know it’s been that since June. This is REALLY hurricane season. From the last week and a half of August through the end of September the hurricane season spikes. There are two (almost three) Atlantic tropical systems simultaneously in play.

I am cautious so I constantly scan the computer models hoping for some insight. Earlier today the European model took Fiona (which doesn’t yet exist as a named storm) squarely into South Florida. Now it hits Havana two days earlier then heads into the Gulf toward New Orleans!

In other words no one knows.