There are some things I’m just going to have to get used to. I have never seen so many people happy about a rainy day! Really, people are ecstatic.
We didn’t get much. The rain started falling before dawn and was gone around 3:00 PM. Most areas got between an eighth and quarter inch–aka, very little. However, in a place that’s only gotten around two inches total since January 2014, even an eighth inch is a notable achievement.
For the next few weeks there will be a little green on the mountainsides. Desert flowers will quickly bloom, then die away.
It’s likely there’ll be no more rain until late fall. Climatically that’s the way it works.
Recent forecasts, first from the Aussies and now from the European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, says a strong El Nino is building. If true, next winter in SoCal should be wet. We can really use it.
I wonder how many rain days we need before desert residents stop finding it cool? I’ll report back.
Abe Katz wrote a winter outlook story for yesterday’s New Haven Register. I was one of the ‘experts’ quoted.
Let’s just say my quotes weren’t the ones you’d put in the first paragraph.
What does this mean?
Not a whole lot, said Geoff Fox, meteorologist at WTNH. “I’m a real non-believer in long term forecasts,” he said.
My problem, however, comes with a quote deeper in the article. I’m not sure whether I was misquoted or just didn’t say exactly what I meant.
There are two problems, Fox said: The forecasts are not accurate, and people live day to day, not season to season.
“If someone said it would be 3 degrees below normal for three months, how would that change your life?” Fox said
What I meant to say, or possibly did say, was:
“If someone said it would be 3 degrees below normal for three months, how would that change your life day-to-day?”
Adding day-to-day makes all the difference, because you would notice a season that’s three degrees below normal. That small temperature difference would take marginal rain days and make them snow days. Your heating bill would be significantly higher. You just wouldn’t notice it on any particular day.
It’s a tiny difference in meaning, but a significant one.
Continue reading “The Problem With Being Quoted”