I’m in a fantasy football league with some guys from work. The season began tonight. I’m in way over my head. Who cares? Fantasy football is a math nerd’s delight!
Our league is hosted on Yahoo!. I’ve played there before. Each year the software gets a little slicker; a little more insightful.
My tight end, Jimmy Grand¹, got me 8.80 points. I have no idea who he is. Until I chose him I’d never heard of him.
Way to go tonight, Jimmy.
I look at fantasy football the way I look at weather forecasting or poker. It’s a mathematical puzzle where you’re given a subset of the info you need for a learned decision. Even if you go with the odds sometimes you’ll get burned. An 80% chance doesn’t come true 20% of the time!
My one wild card is Kevin Kolb. He used to play for the Eagles so I’ve seen him excel as a backup. There’s no guarantee he’ll perform like that now that he has a lucrative multiyear contract. If he sucks, I’m screwed.
Football is overloaded with stats. Which are meaningful? Which are superfluous? I’ll let you know early next year.
It’s not really important to know who Jimmy Grand is.
¹ – Just to show what a doof I am, I’ll leave the typo in! It’s Jimmy Graham.