Let me preface this by saying, on a day like today, global warming would be very welcome! OK – maybe that’s an overstatement, but we will see overnight temperatures in the single digits. That’s too cold for me.
On to the real reason for this.
I was surprised to see an interview with Dr. William Gray in the September issue of Discover Magazine¹. Dr. Gray is the leading authority on the seasonal prediction of hurricanes (different than the operational forecasting of individual storms).
I’ve read his statements – how he doesn’t feel there’s a connection between this year’s Atlantic Hurricane Season and global warming. He makes total sense, especially when you realize the increase we see here on the East Coast hasn’t been seen in the world’s other hurricane zones.
I was surprised, though pleased, to see he’s also skeptical about global warming in general.
His quote in a second. When I say “global warming” here in the blog, I am normally talking about the theory which connects our increasingly industrial society to a rise in the Earth’s ambient temperature. If you’ve read me for any length of time, you know I am also skeptical.
I know how tough it is to forecast a few days in the future, much less decades. This is especially true when you don’t or can’t have access to every possible parameter in a seriously complex series of equations.
A mistake early on will corrupt whatever results you see.
On to Gray in Discover: