Alberto The Squirto

Sometimes I wonder how much of public hurricane forecasting is science and how much is public relations?

It’s difficult for me to believe Tropical Storm Alberto is (currently) anywhere near the 70 mph sustained winds the Hurricane Center has reported. There’s nothing I see on a satellite or radar image that lends itself to that conclusion.

It’s a storm with an exposed center, little deep convection in that center, and wind shear already affecting it’s northern flank.

I’m not saying there isn’t a lot of rain, which will cause trouble – there is. But this storm is being sold as more than it is. There is no offshore buoy showing even 40 mph. Winds on land are lower still.

We will have big storms this season. There’s no need to rush it.

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