On the GFS, Joaquin jogs right-left-right. I’m not sure I’ve seen that before. I’m wary of things I’ve never seen.
The path is less than certain. No one’s sure if the computers have latched on to the right solution. I certainly don’t know.
The forecast tracks have varied widely day-to-day. There have been complaints raised about poor model initialization.
We live and die by computers. Without good data we’re screwed.
Four paragraphs gone and no commitment from me. Seriously, this storm is baffling.
If you believe the GFS you believe Joaquin will miss the East Coast. I prefer waiting a little longer before sounding the all clear.