How Accurate Is The Forecast?

From time-to-time I’ll be queried on my forecast. How often are you right (or wrong)? I’m not sure, though having not yet been tarred and feathered I guess I’m doing OK.

Now there’s a site that quantifies the forecast’s accuracy. I’m not included&#185.

At first glance, it’s very interesting. I can’t vouch for the methodology, though if there’s a problem with it, expect someone to get sued!

One of the most interesting parts seems to be how little effect highly trained humans have in out forecasting computer models. This might not be true for critical weather cases where local knowledge is often helpful, but on a day-to-day basis there’s no great advantage.

&#185 – It would be very difficult to rank my forecast using their methods since my extended forecast is not for a particular point, but a wide area, using average.

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