It seemed obvious from the beginning Danielle would be an ‘outside runner’ staying far enough out in the Atlantic to be no more than a curiosity. On the other hand Earl concerns me and has since its seed pushed past the West African Coast..
Over the years I’ve developed a sixth sense for this sort of thing. It usually works. Not always.
I wrote this five years two days ago:
The Hurricane Center has just christened a tropical depression. Though it hasn’t yet graduated to tropical storm or hurricane status, but “we’ve already picked out a name” – Katrina.
I am concerned by Katrina because it is likely to head toward South Florida, a densely populated area and where my parents live!
It doesn’t look like Katrina will be a major hurricane… but a minimal hurricane is enough for me.
You’ll be reading a lot more about this storm on this site over the next few days.
OK — I missed the major hurricane part which was still well in the future. Still, something compelled me to follow Katrina closely. I was blogging about it a lot long before anyone suspected the kind of trouble it would cause. Even without my post-New Orleans posts it is my most blogged hurricane.
I can’t tell you why, but I have that same life threatening fear about Earl. Sixth sense? Maybe.
It doesn’t make a difference. Tropical systems all receive close scrutiny. The risk is just too great.